Probabilities API - 'To Qualify' Soccer Market

We’ve added a To Qualify soccer probability market to our Probabilities API. This new market will appear under market.name as to_qualify in the Sport Event and Seasonal Probabilities endpoints.

⭐ Benefit

The to_qualify market expands the probabilities offering beyond the existing 3-way (90-minute) market and enables qualification projections for knockout competitions.

☑️ Sample Request:

Sport Event Probabilities - https://api.sportradar.com/probabilities/trial/v1/en/sport_events/ sr:sport_event:66577244/probabilities.json

🔢 Versions

Probabilities v1 API

🔁 Endpoints Affected

Seasonal Probabilities
Sport Event Probabilities
Sport Event Probabilities Timeline

⚙️ Return Sample

    <sport_event_status status="ended" match_status="aet" away_score="1" home_score="2" live="true"/>
    <markets>
        <market name="3way" last_updated="2026-01-11T14:29:37+00:00">
            <outcomes>
                <outcome name="home_team_winner" probability="0"/>
                <outcome name="draw" probability="100"/>
                <outcome name="away_team_winner" probability="0"/>
            </outcomes>
        </market>
        <market name="to_qualify" last_updated="2026-01-11T14:29:37+00:00">
            <outcomes>
                <outcome name="home_team_winner" probability="100"/>
                <outcome name="away_team_winner" probability="0"/>
            </outcomes>
        </market>
        <market name="to_qualify" live="true" last_updated="2026-01-21T14:33:32+00:00">
            <outcomes>
                <outcome name="home_team_winner" probability="100"/>
                <outcome name="away_team_winner" probability="0"/>
            </outcomes>
        </market>

        <market name="to_qualify" live="true" last_updated="2026-01-11T14:36:06+00:00" home_score="0" away_score="0" match_time="4:32">
            <outcomes>
                <outcome name="home_team_winner" probability="73.9"/>
                <outcome name="away_team_winner" probability="26.1"/>
            </outcomes>
        </market>
        <market name="3way" live="true" last_updated="2026-01-11T14:36:36+00:00" home_score="0" away_score="0" match_time="5:02">
            <outcomes>
                <outcome name="home_team_winner" probability="60.1"/>
                <outcome name="draw" probability="22.8"/>
                <outcome name="away_team_winner" probability="17.1"/>
            </outcomes>
        </market>
        <market name="to_qualify" live="true" last_updated="2026-01-11T14:36:36+00:00" home_score="0" away_score="0" match_time="5:02">
            <outcomes>
                <outcome name="home_team_winner" probability="74.4"/>
                <outcome name="away_team_winner" probability="25.6"/>
            </outcomes>
        </market>